dinsdag 31 december 2013

a monstrous manifesto

“If you are a monster, stand up. If you are a monster, a trickster, a fiend, If you’ve built a steam-powered wishing machine If you have a secret, a dark past, a scheme, If you kidnap maidens or dabble in dreams Come stand by me. If you have been broken, stand up. If you have been broken, abandoned, alone If you have been starving, a creature of bone If you live in a tower, a dungeon, a throne If you weep for wanting, to be held, to be known, Come stand by me. If you are a savage, stand up. If you are a witch, a dark queen, a black knight, If you are a mummer, a pixie, a sprite, If you are a pirate, a tomcat, a wright, If you swear by the moon and you fight the hard fight, Come stand by me. If you are a devil, stand up. If you are a villain, a madman, a beast, If you are a strowler, a prowler, a priest, If you are a dragon come sit at our feast, For we all have stripes, and we all have horns, We all have scales, tails, manes, claws and thorns And here in the dark is where new worlds are born. Come stand by me.”

A Monstrous Manifesto, by Catherynne M. Valent


down times staircase


last day


happy new year

zondag 29 december 2013

music at work will do this:

Listening to music, I always have exactly the same feeling: something’s missing. Never will I learn the cause of this gentle sadness, never will I wish to investigate it.
— Robert Walser, in Masquerade and Other Stories

vrijdag 27 december 2013


“The lonely one offers his hand too quickly to whomever he encounters.”

Friedrich Nietzsche, Thus Spake Zarathustra: A Book for All and None

maandag 23 december 2013

magic

“I do believe in an everyday sort of magic — the inexplicable connectedness we sometimes experience with places, people, works of art and the like; the eerie appropriateness of moments of synchronicity; the whispered voice, the hidden presence, when we think we’re alone.”
Charles de Lint

“And there I sat, long long ago, waiting for the world to know me.”
Nathaniel Hawthorne


zondag 22 december 2013

going to get me a x-mas tree


Dear santa: need blooddonors for a novel.


In a land not so far, far away...


US National Security Agency Signals Intelligence Base
Menwith Hill, UK
54°0’30”N 1°41’18”W

Fifty-One US Military Outposts, 2010
Variable dimensions. Archival inkjet prints
Softcover print-on-demand book, 10x8 inches (25×20 cm), 106 pages. Order here.

Summary
Presenting overt and covert military outposts used by the United States in fifty-one different countries across the world. The sites have been located and gathered from information available in the public domain, including official US military and veterans' websites and forums, domestic and foreign news articles, and official and leaked government documents and reports.
"

Wellicht hebben ze al de AIVD kerstpuzzel ook al gekraakt.

zaterdag 21 december 2013

pretty sure

“I’m pretty sure there’s a lot more to life than being really, really, ridiculously good looking. And I plan on finding out what that is.”
Zoolander


And can't go left!

and the snake said: "its just an apple"


vrijdag 20 december 2013

the lawless hug


zdzislaw beksinski






space, the final frontier


These are the voyages without understanding, it's five year mission: to explore strange strangers and to seek out new darkness; to boldly go where no moon heas gone before.
-James T. Kurk.

donderdag 19 december 2013

nacht plank




toilet adventures

“Lacan doesn’t say that love is a disguise for sexual relationships; he says that sexual relationships don’t exist, that love is what comes to replace that non-relationship. That’s much more interesting. This idea leads him to say that in love the other tries to approach “the being of the other”. In love the individual goes beyond himself, beyond the narcissistic. In sex, you are really in a relationship with yourself via the mediation of the other. The other helps you to discover the reality of pleasure. In love, on the contrary the mediation of the other is enough in itself. Such is the nature of the amorous encounter: you go to take on the other, to make him or her exist with you, as he or she is. It is a much more profound conception of love than the entirely banal view that love is no more than an imaginary canvas painted over the reality of sex.” — Alain Badiou, In Praise of Love

"

And then again: why was nice skipped between beer and sex, so you could have the illusion of love?
And do we cherish our retarded notions of others because sex is so stupid?

woensdag 18 december 2013

love is...


DPRK, it's not mind boggling propaganda like capitalism; you glorious comrade.

Workers World: Defend socialist Korea!
workers.org

On Dec. 13, the Korean Central News Agency, an official voice of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, reported that a high-ranking member of the government, Jang Song Thaek, had been tried and executed for having “perpetrated anti-party, counter-revolutionary factional acts in a bid to overthrow the leadership of our party and state and the socialist system.”

The trial of Jang by a special military tribunal came after the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Workers’ Party of Korea held an expanded meeting and then issued a report to the nation.

The important thing to remember when reading the U.S. capitalist media’s interpretation of these grave events is that none of it is objective or well-intended. Every word is calculated to undermine and slander the DPRK, with the objective of bringing down the government, the Workers’ Party and  the socialist system.

For 65 years, U.S. imperialists have failed in their efforts to destroy the socialist government in the northern half of the Korean peninsula.

Washington carried out a horrific war of aggression in the 1950s, followed ever since by unremitting military threats and sanctions meant to strangle the economy and promote divisions that would open the door to counterrevolution. Their failure shows the enduring strength of the Korean people’s allegiance to their revolution and their leaders, who have refused to knuckle under to imperialism.

Over these long decades of struggle, the Workers’ Party has chosen leaders committed to the path carved out by Kim Il Sung, the Korean revolution’s great political theorist, organizer, guerrilla fighter and military commander.

At this critical time, the obligation of all progressives, especially in the United States, is to recognize and respect the sovereign right of the Korean people to control their own destiny and maintain their social system. This means exposing and rejecting any attempts by imperialism to intervene in the situation, whether by military, economic or diplomatic means. It also means rejecting the slanders concocted by the capitalist media against Kim Jong Un and other leaders of the DPRK.

The working class everywhere, including in the U.S., is already paying the price of imperialism’s counterrevolutionary successes in Europe and Asia, which have opened up vast areas of the globe to super-exploitation by the profit-hungry transnational corporations.

Workers World affirms its solidarity with Comrade Kim Jong Un. As First Secretary of the Workers’ Party of Korea and Supreme Commander of the Korean People’s Army, he bears on his shoulders the responsibility for defending the DPRK and guarding against all efforts, both external and internal, to subvert the revolutionary gains won through the sacrifices of many generations of brave Korean resistance fighters.
"

If we attack Russia, China and America in their flank, so they must withdrawl from the nuclear battlefield to the moon; we, the glorious DPRK, cannot fail. And will in the end establish world peace, resistance is futile.


hanging art for jezus


ama dablam


dinsdag 17 december 2013

moebius/geoff darrow - city of fire








RMR

“The only sadnesses that are dangerous and unhealthy are the ones that we carry around in public in order to drown them out with the noise; like diseases that are treated superficially and foolishly, they just withdraw and after a short interval, break out again all the more terribly; and gather inside us and become life;life that is unlived, rejected and lost.Life that we can die of.”

                     ~ Rainer Maria Rilke


maandag 16 december 2013

doll-face


solstice


de bitcoin bubble

Ook AFM waarschuwt voor risico's bitcoin - Economie - VK: "Na De Nederlandsche Bank, waarschuwt ook toezichthouder AFM voor de risico's van bitcoins. Door de sterke schommeling van de wisselkoers van de virtuele valuta kunnen houders er snel hun geld mee kwijtraken, aldus de Autoriteit Financiële Markten dinsdag."

en:
Winklevoss ziet waarde bitcoin nog naar 40.000 dollar stijgen | nu.nl/internet | Het laatste nieuws het eerst op nu.nl: "Het oprollen van de online zwarte markt Silk Road is goed geweest voor bitcoin. De digitale valuta kan volgens investeerder Cameron Winklevoss snel stijgen tot een waarde van 40.000 dollar per munt."

en:
Coinfloor high-frequency trading Bitcoin exchange 29 October 2013 | ForexLive: "Coinfloor, a new Bitcoin exchange launching in London on Tuesday has banned customers from the US:"



'via Blog this'

real time valuta market for bitcoins:

16 dec 2013 @ 11:11
green
Latest price is higher than yesterday's price
red
Latest price is lower than yesterday's price
blue
Latest price is equal to yesterday's price
Colors will fade to black slowly depending on how long ago the last trade happened. A bright color means that the trade happened not too long ago.


met een verschilletje van zo'n -73 euro in 36 uur!
En sinds de bitcoin HFT steeg de waarde en volatiliteit ervan!!


Dus krijgt het publiek een negatief advies omdat ze anders de HFT van de banken voor de voeten lopen?
De eerste bitcoin derivaten en default swaps zullen ook wel een maand of twee oud zijn.
Same shit, different coin!

Update:

zondag 15 december 2013

a view

“Since beginningless time and into the never-ending future, men have loved women without telling them, and the Lord has loved them without telling, and the void is not the void because there’s nothing to be empty of.”
Jack Kerouac | Tristessa


maandag 9 december 2013

OMG it's symmetrical, remember 10 march

diagram A
AEX open between now-1993
This pic could happen because until 4-jan-1999 the values in the data as provided by Yahoo are in guilders and after that in euro's, as used by the AEX !!!
Diagram B

statistics about diagram B
N 6138
Min 99.76
Max 702.09
Sum 2105687
Mean 343.0576
Std. error 1.922163
Variance 22678.13
Stand. dev 150.5926
Median 336.42
25 prcntil 212.755
75 prcntil 453.86
Skewness 0.2810237
Kurtosis -589.7686
Geom. mean 306.8134

Shapiro-Wilk W 0.9642
p(normal) 1.699E-36
Jarque-Bera JB 207.4
p(normal) 9.023E-46
p(Monte Carlo) 0.0001
Chi^2 87.061
p(normal) 1.0523E-20


Here above in diagram B is the real graph from 1-1-1990 until now, all in euros.
It goes now as well as it was back in june 1997 and oct 1997 and aug 2002 and july 2005 and july 2008 when the stock-exchange hit around the 390 mark as it does today!
The red line shows the difference between closing and openingvalues, lets call that the amplitude.
amplitude of stock-
exchange richter scale

magnitude (x-axis) vs. amplitude (y-axis)
With 10 points (out of 6138 points, each point is one day)) that are above the 30.0 stock exchange quakescale (x-axis), of which 4 have a negative charge (see y-axis).
Some after-shocks still may occur.

magnitude

statistics on difference high-low (the magnitude) at same day AEX
N 6138
Min 0
Max 46.38
Sum 29930.74
Mean 4.876302
Std. error 0.0549919
Variance 18.56198
Stand. dev 4.308362
Median 3.81
25 prcntil 1.76
75 prcntil 6.72
Skewness 1.975364
Kurtosis -2523.784
Geom. mean 0


curve of the magnitude

5483 points are less then 10.0 on the stock exchange quakescale which corresponds with 89.328% of all 6138 points
6084 points are less then 20.0 on the stock exchange quakescale and equals to 99.12% of all points
6128 points are less then 30.0 on the scale and equals 99.837% of all points
6137 less then 40.0 thus 99.98%
1 greater then 40.0 and corresponds with  0.016%

The epicentra of the quakes above 30.0 are in order of magnitude ascending:
(all dates: mm-dd-yyyy)
3/16/2003
8/5/2002
9/28/2008
1/14/1999
1-6-1999
10/27/1997
9/16/2001
1/21/2008
9/13/2001
9/10/2001 equals with +46.38 points

 amplitude

statistics for difference close-open at same day AEX
N 6138
Min -37.15
Max 30.94
Sum -476.34
Mean -0.07760508
Std. error 0.05318578
Variance 17.36272
Stand. dev 4.16686
Median 0
25 prcntil -1.45
75 prcntil 1.52
Skewness -0.3243027
Kurtosis -2641.157
Geom. mean 0



negative charged:
3 points are less then -30.0
13 points are less then -20.0
130 points are less then -10.0
5902 points are between or equal of -10.0 and 10.0 and corresponds with 96.155% of al charges.
positive charged:
106 points are greater then 10.0
9 points are greater then 20.0
1 point is greater then 30.0
curve of the amplitude

every point smaller then -20.0 has in ascending order the location:
9-10-2001 with a charge of -37.15
9/13/2001 charged -32
9/28/2008 charged -30.67
1/22/2008 charged -25.37
1-6-1999
9/16/2008 charged -23.58
4/26/1998
7/14/2002
1/20/2008 charged -21.96
1-3-2000
8/14/1997
9/19/2001
1-12-1999

and every point greater then 20.0 has in ascending order the location: 
12/2/1998
7/28/2002
7/16/2002
10/14/2002
8-5-2002
3/16/2003
10/27/1997
1/21/2008 charged 29.22
1/14/1999 with a charge of +30.94

The worst day in stock-exchange history from the last 23 years could be 10 sept 2001 and that's during the internet-bubble with a fall of -8.25% or -37.15 points. But on 28 sept 2008 the fall of -30.67 points equaled -9.48%. On 16 march 2003 the biggest difference between high and low was recorded at 11% or 30.08 points.

amplitude in % 
histogram of  amplitude in % 
stats of % from closingvalues
N 6138
Min -9.479215%
Max 8.822873%
Sum -135.1495%
Mean -0.02201849%
Std. error 0.01404136%
Variance 1.210167%
Stand. dev 1.100076%
Median 0
25 prcntil -0.4646779%
75 prcntil 0.490223%
Skewness -0.3059599
Kurtosis -2797.77
Geom. mean 0

% amplitude (y-axis) vs. % magnitude (x-axis)

Because the sum of amplitudes and also the sum of % are both negative it is advisable not to bet on the AEX, it can be negative because the differences between close and open that are not on the same day isn't accounted for in these calculations!
The stats for the difference for close and open with a night in between for two adjecent days (the night-amplitude) are:
N 6137
Min -39.3
Max 21.55
Sum 727.2
night-amplitude
Mean 0.1184944
Std. error 0.0381782
Variance 8.94514
Stand. dev 2.990843
Median 0.12
25 prcntil -0.885
75 prcntil 1.24
Skewness -0.8369069
Kurtosis -4123.689
Geom. mean 0

The epicentra during these nights
for less then -20 points in ascending order:
10/27/1997 equals with -39.3
4/16/2000
6/25/2002
9/20/2001
8/31/1998
8/27/1998
10-9-2008 equals a charge of -20.29


Towards a conclusion.

The cause of these stock-exchange quakes may be the friction between nighttime trade and daytime trade plates, is my suspicion. Moerover only 8 out of 39 or 20% of the dates reffer to the 2008 housing bubble and the rest to the 2001 internet bubble, the deepest fall was a -12.59% at 27 oct 1997, followed on second place by 10 sept 2008 with a -8.41%.
The bottom of the housingbubble in 10 march 2009 (199.34 points) was slightly deeper then the bottom (225.37 points) of the bear of the intenetbubble in 10 march 2003. The top of the internet-bubble was 702.09 (4 sep 2000) and the top of the housing-bubble was 563.47 (12 july 2007), all figures at the AEX.
(The peak of the NASDAQ was on a 10 march 2000 with 5408.60 points.)
The difference between top and low of the internet bubble is 702.09-225.37=-476.72 points spread over 638 workingdays.
The difference between the top and low of the housingbubble is -364.13 points (bear) spread over 424 workingdays.
The sum of the night-amplitude is -40.6 points over 423 nights and the sum of the day-amplitude is -323.53 points over 424 days, so only -12.549% of the -364.13 points from the housing-bubble bear happened during our nights, hence -87.541% of the housing bear can only be but shared by some stock-exchanges on the other side of the planet but within 8 hours distance. And since the pacific has no stock-exchange outside 8 hours from us except the japanese (TSE) and australian (ASX) they alone are responsible for that -12.549%.
Not quite the paradigm-shift but is in here somewhere.

Night amplitudes in percentage:
N 6137
Min -12.58889%
Max 6.277155%
Sum 141.7944%
Mean 0.02310484%
Std. error 0.01041881%
Variance 0.6661817%.
Stand. dev 0.8161996%
Median 0.04757751%
25 prcntil -0.2922083%
75 prcntil 0.3995718%
Skewness -1.368573%
Kurtosis -5153.1
Geom. mean 0

The total sum of the day-amplitude and the sum of the night-amplitude over 6138 dates add eachother up to +250.86 and that add up with the first open 1-1-1990 (136.52) and that accounts for the last close of 387.38 at 9 dec 2013; the sum of their percentages add up to +6.6449%


visual analysis

The internet bubble-height equals about 702 points and the height of the housing bubble is 563 points which is about 80% of the first bubble, just not a fibonacci number, but their angle is.
The ratio of the two bears is also a fibonacci ratio -364.13/-476.72=0.764 !!

Note to self: recommended reading

DATAsource: yahoo finance
Remark: due to a stocksplit by the introduction of the euro on 4 jan 1999 on the AEX the given marketvalues by Yahoo are skewed but are in this article exchanged to euros.